Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Puebla vs Pumas UNAM prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 31 October 2026

Puebla14th · 16 pts
1 - 2Full time
Pumas UNAM12th · 17 pts
PueblaDrawPumas UNAM
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Pumas UNAM to win (44%)
Our predictionPumas UNAM to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.26Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.40Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Puebla29%3.45
  • Draw27%3.73
  • Pumas UNAM44%2.26

Double chance

  • Puebla or draw56%1.79
  • Puebla or Pumas UNAM73%1.37
  • Draw or Pumas UNAM71%1.41

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.04
  • Under 2.551%1.96

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.13

Match in numbers

This season, Puebla at home and Pumas UNAM away

Puebla (home)Pumas UNAM (away)
Matches67
Points per game1.001.43
Goals scored per game1.171.43
Goals conceded per game1.671.57
Shots on target per game4.3-
Shots on target conceded4.7-
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals33%57%
Both teams scored83%57%
  • Puebla have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Puebla: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Pumas UNAM: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Pumas UNAM matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 29% for Puebla, 27% for the draw and 44% for Pumas UNAM.

At home this season Puebla average 1.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Pumas UNAM take 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6.

Current runs: Puebla have gone 6 league matches without a win.

Pumas UNAM sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.23 goals from Puebla and 1.40 from Pumas UNAM; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 53%.

In their last 5 league meetings Pumas UNAM won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%

Puebla form

DLDDL
  • Lvs Monterrey1-42026-10-22
  • Dat Tijuana0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs León1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Tigres UANL0-12026-09-27
  • Dvs Atlante1-12026-09-19

Pumas UNAM form

LDWLD
  • Dvs Tigres UANL1-12026-10-25
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-22026-10-22
  • Wat Atlante2-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Cruz Azul3-32026-10-12
  • Lvs Atlético San Luis2-32026-09-27

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Puebla 2-3 Pumas UNAM
  • 2025-08-24Pumas UNAM 0-0 Puebla
  • 2025-03-08Puebla 1-3 Pumas UNAM
  • 2024-09-18Pumas UNAM 1-0 Puebla
  • 2024-02-11Pumas UNAM 3-0 Puebla

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 02:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.