Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Puebla30%3.28
- Draw28%3.62
- Monterrey42%2.39
Double chance
- Puebla or draw58%1.72
- Puebla or Monterrey72%1.38
- Draw or Monterrey70%1.44
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.04
- Under 2.551%1.96
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.88
- No47%2.13
Match in numbers
This season, Puebla at home and Monterrey away
| Puebla (home) | Monterrey (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
- Puebla have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Our predictions for Monterrey matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Puebla 30%, draw 28%, Monterrey 42%.
At home this season Puebla average 1.20 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Monterrey take 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Puebla manage 4.4 per home game and Monterrey 3.8 per away game.
Form lines: Puebla have gone 5 league matches without a win.
Expected goals from the model: Puebla 1.21, Monterrey 1.43. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
In their last 5 league meetings Monterrey won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-17%
Puebla form
- Dat Tijuana0-02026-10-17
- Dvs León1-12026-10-10
- Lat Tigres UANL0-12026-09-27
- Dvs Atlante1-12026-09-19
- Lvs Toluca0-12026-09-16
Monterrey form
- Wvs Pachuca2-12026-10-19
- Dat Club América1-12026-10-11
- Lat Atlante2-42026-09-26
- Wvs Cruz Azul1-02026-09-20
- Dvs Tigres UANL0-02026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-22Monterrey 2-1 Puebla
- 2025-08-30Puebla 2-4 Monterrey
- 2025-01-13Monterrey 1-1 Puebla
- 2024-08-17Puebla 1-2 Monterrey
- 2024-01-14Monterrey 2-0 Puebla
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyThis match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.