Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Pachuca vs Tigres UANL prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 31 October 2026

Pachuca13th · 16 pts
3 - 0Full time
Tigres UANL15th · 15 pts
PachucaDrawTigres UANL
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Pachuca to win (43%)
Our predictionPachuca to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.33Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.35-1.17Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Pachuca43%2.33
  • Draw28%3.61
  • Tigres UANL29%3.41

Double chance

  • Pachuca or draw71%1.41
  • Pachuca or Tigres UANL72%1.38
  • Draw or Tigres UANL57%1.75

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.17
  • Under 2.554%1.86

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.97
  • No49%2.03

Match in numbers

This season, Pachuca at home and Tigres UANL away

Pachuca (home)Tigres UANL (away)
Matches68
Points per game0.500.50
Goals scored per game1.670.75
Goals conceded per game2.171.50
Shots on target per game5.84.1
Shots on target conceded5.35.3
Clean sheets0%25%
Over 2.5 goals83%38%
Both teams scored100%62%
  • Pachuca: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Tigres UANL: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Pachuca matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Tigres UANL matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Pachuca 43%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 29%.

At home this season Pachuca average 0.50 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Tigres UANL take 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Pachuca manage 5.8 per home game and Tigres UANL 4.1 per away game.

Pachuca sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Tigres UANL sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Pachuca 1.35, Tigres UANL 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.

In their last 5 league meetings Pachuca won 2, Tigres UANL won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

Pachuca form

LDLLW
  • Wat Club América2-12026-10-26
  • Lvs Cruz Azul1-22026-10-22
  • Lat Monterrey1-22026-10-19
  • Dvs Necaxa3-32026-10-11
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-12026-09-27

Tigres UANL form

WWDLD
  • Dat Pumas UNAM1-12026-10-25
  • Lvs León0-22026-10-21
  • Dat Guadalajara1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Toluca3-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Puebla1-02026-09-27

Head to head

  • 2026-02-21Tigres UANL 1-2 Pachuca
  • 2025-10-23Pachuca 1-2 Tigres UANL
  • 2025-04-16Pachuca 0-0 Tigres UANL
  • 2024-10-27Tigres UANL 2-1 Pachuca
  • 2024-04-07Tigres UANL 0-3 Pachuca

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.