Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Pachuca32%3.11
- Draw26%3.79
- Cruz Azul42%2.41
Double chance
- Pachuca or draw58%1.71
- Pachuca or Cruz Azul74%1.36
- Draw or Cruz Azul68%1.47
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.80
- Under 2.544%2.25
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.71
- No42%2.40
Match in numbers
This season, Pachuca at home and Cruz Azul away
| Pachuca (home) | Cruz Azul (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 80% |
- Our predictions for Pachuca matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Cruz Azul matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Pachuca 32%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 42%.
At home this season Pachuca average 0.60 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Cruz Azul take 1.40 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Pachuca manage 6.0 per home game and Cruz Azul 7.0 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Pachuca 1.38, Cruz Azul 1.53. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
In their last 5 league meetings Pachuca won 2 and Cruz Azul won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-08%
Pachuca form
- Lat Monterrey1-22026-10-19
- Dvs Necaxa3-32026-10-11
- Lat Santos Laguna0-12026-09-27
- Dvs Tijuana2-22026-09-21
- Wat Atlante3-02026-09-12
Cruz Azul form
- Wvs Juárez5-02026-10-18
- Dat Pumas UNAM3-32026-10-12
- Dvs Toluca3-32026-09-26
- Lat Monterrey0-12026-09-20
- Wvs Club América4-32026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-05Cruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca
- 2025-09-13Pachuca 0-1 Cruz Azul
- 2025-02-09Cruz Azul 2-1 Pachuca
- 2024-09-29Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
- 2024-01-14Cruz Azul 0-1 Pachuca
More Liga MX predictions
All matches ›
Querétaro
MonterreyThis match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.