Updated 20:17 UTCTrack record

Newcastle United vs Everton prediction

England · Premier League · 02 November 2026

Newcastle United8th · 11 pts
Mon 02 Nov
Everton11th · 10 pts
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
Our predictionNewcastle United to winOpen game
45%Probability
2.23Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.53-1.27Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Newcastle United45%2.23
  • Draw26%3.80
  • Everton29%3.46

Double chance

  • Newcastle United or draw71%1.41
  • Newcastle United or Everton74%1.36
  • Draw or Everton55%1.81

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.89
  • Under 2.547%2.13

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.78
  • No44%2.28

Match in numbers

This season, Newcastle United at home and Everton away

Newcastle United (home)Everton (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.250.75
Goals scored per game1.500.75
Goals conceded per game1.501.25
Shots on target per game3.05.0
Shots on target conceded4.84.0
Clean sheets0%25%
Over 2.5 goals75%25%
Both teams scored75%50%
  • Newcastle United: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 16th in the league.
  • Everton: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 10th in the league.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Newcastle United 45%, draw 26%, Everton 29%.

At home this season Newcastle United average 1.25 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Everton take 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Newcastle United manage 3.0 per home game and Everton 5.0 per away game.

Expected goals from the model: Newcastle United 1.53, Everton 1.27. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

In their last 5 league meetings Newcastle United won 1, Everton won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 1-28%

Newcastle United form

LWLLW
  • Wat Crystal Palace2-02026-10-25
  • Lvs Aston Villa0-12026-10-17
  • Lat Coventry City1-42026-10-12
  • Wvs Hull City2-12026-09-19
  • Lat Leeds United1-42026-09-14

Everton form

DWDLL
  • Lat Arsenal0-22026-10-24
  • Lvs Chelsea0-22026-10-17
  • Dat Hull City2-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Ipswich Town1-02026-09-19
  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur0-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Newcastle United 2-3 Everton
  • 2025-11-29Everton 1-4 Newcastle United
  • 2025-05-25Newcastle United 0-1 Everton
  • 2024-10-05Everton 0-0 Newcastle United
  • 2024-04-02Newcastle United 1-1 Everton

More Premier League predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-26 20:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.