Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Coventry City vs Sunderland prediction

England · Premier League · 31 October 2026

Coventry City18th · 6 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Sunderland20th · 4 pts
Coventry CityDrawSunderland
Our predictionCoventry City to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.51Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.21-1.20Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Coventry City40%2.51
  • Draw28%3.53
  • Sunderland32%3.14

Double chance

  • Coventry City or draw68%1.47
  • Coventry City or Sunderland72%1.40
  • Draw or Sunderland60%1.66

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.30
  • Under 2.557%1.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.05
  • No51%1.96

Match in numbers

This season, Coventry City at home and Sunderland away

Coventry City (home)Sunderland (away)
Matches34
Points per game1.000.25
Goals scored per game1.331.25
Goals conceded per game2.332.50
Shots on target per game5.04.5
Shots on target conceded5.04.2
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals67%50%
Both teams scored33%75%
  • Sunderland have lost their last 4 league matches.
  • Coventry City: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 19th in the league.
  • Sunderland: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 10th in the league.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Coventry City 40%, draw 28%, Sunderland 32%.

At home this season Coventry City average 1.00 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 2.3. Away from home Sunderland take 0.25 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Coventry City manage 5.0 per home game and Sunderland 4.5 per away game.

Form lines: Sunderland have lost their last 4 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Coventry City 1.21, Sunderland 1.20. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

In their last 5 league meetings Coventry City won 2, Sunderland won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-111%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-18%

Coventry City form

LLWWL
  • Lat Tottenham Hotspur1-32026-10-19
  • Wvs Newcastle United4-12026-10-12
  • Wat Nottingham Forest1-02026-09-19
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-52026-09-13
  • Lat Manchester City0-12026-09-05

Sunderland form

DLLLL
  • Lat AFC Bournemouth0-22026-10-18
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-22026-10-10
  • Lat Manchester City3-52026-09-20
  • Lvs Arsenal0-22026-09-12
  • Dat Brentford1-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2025-05-13Sunderland 1-1 Coventry City
  • 2025-05-09Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland
  • 2025-03-15Coventry City 3-0 Sunderland
  • 2024-11-09Sunderland 2-2 Coventry City
  • 2023-12-23Sunderland 0-3 Coventry City

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.