Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Brentford6th · 10 pts
Nottingham Forest16th · 6 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Brentford47%2.15
- Draw26%3.80
- Nottingham Forest27%3.68
Double chance
- Brentford or draw73%1.37
- Brentford or Nottingham Forest74%1.36
- Draw or Nottingham Forest53%1.87
Goals
- Over 2.548%2.09
- Under 2.552%1.91
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.92
- No48%2.08
Match in numbers
This season, Brentford at home and Nottingham Forest away
| Brentford (home) | Nottingham Forest (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
- Brentford have scored in 9 straight league matches.
- Brentford: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Nottingham Forest: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 4th in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Brentford (47%), though Nottingham Forest win 27% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.
At home this season Brentford average 1.75 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Nottingham Forest take 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.5 per game for Brentford at home and 5.3 for Nottingham Forest on the road.
Current runs: Brentford have scored in 9 straight league matches.
Brentford are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Nottingham Forest sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 11th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.40 goals from Brentford and 1.18 from Nottingham Forest; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.
In their last 5 league meetings Brentford won 2 and Nottingham Forest won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 2-07%
Brentford form
- Lvs Liverpool1-22026-10-17
- Dat Aston Villa2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Chelsea3-02026-09-18
- Dat AFC Bournemouth2-22026-09-12
- Dvs Sunderland1-12026-09-05
Nottingham Forest form
- Dat Ipswich Town1-12026-10-23
- Lvs Arsenal0-12026-10-18
- Lat Crystal Palace1-32026-10-11
- Lvs Coventry City0-12026-09-19
- Wat Aston Villa2-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-01-25Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest
- 2025-08-17Nottingham Forest 3-1 Brentford
- 2025-05-01Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brentford
- 2024-12-21Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest
- 2024-01-20Brentford 3-2 Nottingham Forest
More Premier League predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.