New England vs New York RB prediction

USA · MLS · 28 October 2026

New England5th · 27 pts
Wed 28 Oct
New York RB26th · 14 pts
New EnglandDrawNew York RB
Our predictionNew England to winLean
54%Probability
1.84Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.81-1.28Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • New England54%1.84
  • Draw23%4.43
  • New York RB23%4.33

Double chance

  • New England or draw77%1.30
  • New England or New York RB77%1.29
  • Draw or New York RB46%2.19

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.68
  • Under 2.540%2.48

Both teams to score

  • Yes60%1.66
  • No40%2.51

Match preview

New England have the edge at 54%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for New York RB at 23%.

Expected goals from the model: New England 1.81, New York RB 1.28. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

New England have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLLW).

New York RB have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLW).

In the table New England are 5th with 27 points and New York RB 26th with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings New England won 2, New York RB won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

New England form

WLLWW
  • Wvs Chicago Fire1-02026-10-17
  • Wat Cincinnati3-22026-10-14
  • Lvs Seattle Sounders0-32026-10-10
  • Lat Real Salt Lake0-32026-09-27
  • Wvs Orlando City4-22026-09-19

New York RB form

WLWLL
  • Lvs Toronto0-22026-10-17
  • Lat DC United1-22026-10-14
  • Wvs San Diego4-12026-10-10
  • Lvs St. Louis City0-32026-09-30
  • Wat New York City1-02026-09-18

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28New York RB 1-0 New England
  • 2025-07-17New York RB 5-3 New England
  • 2025-03-29New England 2-1 New York RB
  • 2024-06-09New England 1-0 New York RB
  • 2024-05-12New York RB 4-2 New England

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.