Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction
Nashville SC3rd · 34 pts
Philadelphia Union1st · 39 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Nashville SC49%2.06
- Draw26%3.86
- Philadelphia Union25%3.93
Double chance
- Nashville SC or draw75%1.34
- Nashville SC or Philadelphia Union74%1.35
- Draw or Philadelphia Union51%1.95
Goals
- Over 2.550%1.99
- Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.88
- No47%2.14
Match preview
Nashville SC have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Philadelphia Union at 25%.
Expected goals from the model: Nashville SC 1.53, Philadelphia Union 1.15. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Nashville SC have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).
Philadelphia Union have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).
In the table Nashville SC are 3rd with 34 points and Philadelphia Union 1st with 39.
In their last 5 league meetings Nashville SC won 2, Philadelphia Union won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 2-08%
Nashville SC form
- Dat SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-18
- Wvs Sporting KC4-02026-10-15
- Wat Austin4-12026-10-11
- Wvs Toronto2-02026-09-27
- Wvs Chicago Fire3-02026-09-20
Philadelphia Union form
- Dvs Charlotte2-22026-10-17
- Wat Chicago Fire3-12026-10-15
- Wvs Real Salt Lake2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Orlando City4-22026-09-26
- Wat Sporting KC4-32026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC
- 2025-07-06Nashville SC 1-0 Philadelphia Union
- 2025-03-16Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC
- 2024-07-21Philadelphia Union 3-0 Nashville SC
- 2024-04-07Nashville SC 1-2 Philadelphia Union
More MLS predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.