Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

Nashville SC3rd · 34 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Philadelphia Union1st · 39 pts
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
Our predictionNashville SC to winLean
49%Probability
2.06Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.53-1.15Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Nashville SC49%2.06
  • Draw26%3.86
  • Philadelphia Union25%3.93

Double chance

  • Nashville SC or draw75%1.34
  • Nashville SC or Philadelphia Union74%1.35
  • Draw or Philadelphia Union51%1.95

Goals

  • Over 2.550%1.99
  • Under 2.550%2.01

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.14

Match preview

Nashville SC have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Philadelphia Union at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Nashville SC 1.53, Philadelphia Union 1.15. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Nashville SC have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).

Philadelphia Union have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).

In the table Nashville SC are 3rd with 34 points and Philadelphia Union 1st with 39.

In their last 5 league meetings Nashville SC won 2, Philadelphia Union won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-08%

Nashville SC form

WWWWD
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Sporting KC4-02026-10-15
  • Wat Austin4-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Toronto2-02026-09-27
  • Wvs Chicago Fire3-02026-09-20

Philadelphia Union form

WWWWD
  • Dvs Charlotte2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Chicago Fire3-12026-10-15
  • Wvs Real Salt Lake2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Orlando City4-22026-09-26
  • Wat Sporting KC4-32026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC
  • 2025-07-06Nashville SC 1-0 Philadelphia Union
  • 2025-03-16Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC
  • 2024-07-21Philadelphia Union 3-0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-04-07Nashville SC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.