Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Monterrey46%2.15
- Draw26%3.86
- Tijuana28%3.62
Double chance
- Monterrey or draw72%1.38
- Monterrey or Tijuana74%1.35
- Draw or Tijuana54%1.87
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.75
- Under 2.543%2.34
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.72
- No42%2.39
Match in numbers
This season, Monterrey at home and Tijuana away
| Monterrey (home) | Tijuana (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 0.83 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.14 | 1.83 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.3 | 3.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 83% |
- Tijuana are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- Monterrey: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Tijuana: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 11th in the league.
- Our predictions for Monterrey matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Tijuana matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Monterrey (46%), though Tijuana win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.
At home this season Monterrey average 1.86 points and 1.9 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Tijuana take 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.3 per game for Monterrey at home and 3.3 for Tijuana on the road.
Current runs: Tijuana are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
The model expects 1.76 goals from Monterrey and 1.22 from Tijuana; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 58%.
In their last 5 league meetings Tijuana won 1 and 4 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Monterrey form
- Lvs Guadalajara0-12026-10-25
- Wat Puebla4-12026-10-22
- Wvs Pachuca2-12026-10-19
- Dat Club América1-12026-10-11
- Lat Atlante2-42026-09-26
Tijuana form
- Dat Club América1-12026-10-29
- Wvs Santos Laguna4-12026-10-26
- Dat Toluca2-22026-10-22
- Dvs Puebla0-02026-10-17
- Dat Juárez1-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-02-01Monterrey 2-2 Tijuana
- 2025-10-06Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
- 2025-03-30Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana
- 2024-08-24Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
- 2024-02-29Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-01 00:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.