Minnesota United vs Sporting KC prediction
Minnesota United27th · 12 pts
Sporting KC29th · 11 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Minnesota United63%1.59
- Draw19%5.37
- Sporting KC19%5.37
Double chance
- Minnesota United or draw81%1.23
- Minnesota United or Sporting KC81%1.23
- Draw or Sporting KC37%2.69
Goals
- Over 2.571%1.40
- Under 2.529%3.48
Both teams to score
- Yes67%1.50
- No33%2.99
Match preview
The model makes Minnesota United clear favourites, with a 63% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Sporting KC at 19%.
Expected goals from the model: Minnesota United 2.36, Sporting KC 1.34. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 71%.
Minnesota United have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLL).
Sporting KC have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLW).
In the table Minnesota United are 27th with 12 points and Sporting KC 29th with 11.
In their last 5 league meetings Minnesota United won 3, Sporting KC won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
- 3-17%
- 2-07%
- 2-26%
Minnesota United form
- Wvs St. Louis City3-22026-10-17
- Dat Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-15
- Dvs Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-11
- Lat Seattle Sounders1-32026-09-27
- Lvs LA Galaxy2-32026-09-20
Sporting KC form
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-32026-10-18
- Lat Nashville SC0-42026-10-15
- Dvs Portland Timbers3-32026-10-11
- Lat Seattle Sounders1-22026-10-02
- Wat Houston Dynamo2-02026-09-27
Head to head
- 2026-07-23Sporting KC 2-1 Minnesota United
- 2025-10-05Minnesota United 3-0 Sporting KC
- 2025-03-16Sporting KC 3-3 Minnesota United
- 2024-09-22Sporting KC 0-2 Minnesota United
- 2024-06-02Minnesota United 3-1 Sporting KC
More MLS predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.