Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy prediction

USA · MLS · 26 October 2026

Los Angeles12th · 22 pts
Mon 26 Oct
LA Galaxy16th · 20 pts
Los AngelesDrawLA Galaxy
Our predictionLos Angeles to winLean
57%Probability
1.74Fair odds
2-1Likely score
1.99-1.13Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Los Angeles57%1.74
  • Draw23%4.43
  • LA Galaxy20%5.01

Double chance

  • Los Angeles or draw80%1.25
  • Los Angeles or LA Galaxy77%1.29
  • Draw or LA Galaxy43%2.35

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.51

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.72
  • No42%2.39

Match preview

Los Angeles have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for LA Galaxy at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: Los Angeles 1.99, LA Galaxy 1.13. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Los Angeles have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLD).

LA Galaxy have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWW).

In the table Los Angeles are 12th with 22 points and LA Galaxy 16th with 20.

In their last 5 league meetings Los Angeles won 2, LA Galaxy won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-17%

Los Angeles form

DLDWD
  • Dat New York City1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Austin3-12026-10-15
  • Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-12026-10-11
  • Lat Dallas0-12026-09-27
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes2-22026-09-19

LA Galaxy form

WWLWD
  • Dvs San Diego2-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Portland Timbers2-02026-10-15
  • Lat St. Louis City2-62026-10-11
  • Wvs Colorado Rapids3-22026-09-27
  • Wat Minnesota United3-22026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-07-18LA Galaxy 0-3 Los Angeles
  • 2025-07-20Los Angeles 3-3 LA Galaxy
  • 2025-05-19LA Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles
  • 2024-09-15LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
  • 2024-07-05LA Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.