León vs Guadalajara prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- León28%3.53
- Draw26%3.86
- Guadalajara46%2.19
Double chance
- León or draw54%1.84
- León or Guadalajara74%1.35
- Draw or Guadalajara72%1.40
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.81
- Under 2.545%2.23
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.74
- No42%2.35
Match in numbers
This season, León at home and Guadalajara away
| León (home) | Guadalajara (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.4 | 5.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 57% |
- León have scored in 13 straight league matches.
- Guadalajara have won their last 3 league matches.
- León: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Guadalajara: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for León matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Guadalajara matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Guadalajara (46%), though León win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.
At home this season León average 1.86 points and 1.9 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Guadalajara take 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.4 per game for León at home and 5.6 for Guadalajara on the road.
Current runs: León have scored in 13 straight league matches; Guadalajara have won their last 3 league matches.
The model expects 1.28 goals from León and 1.62 from Guadalajara; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 58%.
In their last 5 league meetings León won 3 and Guadalajara won 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 1-07%
- 2-17%
León form
- Lat Cruz Azul1-22026-11-02
- Dvs Toluca1-12026-10-24
- Wat Tigres UANL2-02026-10-21
- Lvs Club América3-52026-10-18
- Dat Puebla1-12026-10-10
Guadalajara form
- Wvs Atlante4-22026-11-01
- Wat Monterrey1-02026-10-25
- Wvs Necaxa1-02026-10-21
- Dvs Tigres UANL1-12026-10-17
- Dat Atlas1-12026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-03-19Guadalajara 5-0 León
- 2025-07-20León 1-0 Guadalajara
- 2025-01-29León 2-1 Guadalajara
- 2024-09-19Guadalajara 2-0 León
- 2024-03-09Guadalajara 1-2 León
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-09 01:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.