Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Juárez vs Querétaro prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 31 October 2026

Juárez18th · 5 pts
3 - 1Full time
Querétaro9th · 20 pts
JuárezDrawQuerétaro
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Querétaro to win (40%)
Our predictionQuerétaro to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.51Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.22-1.25Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Juárez32%3.13
  • Draw28%3.54
  • Querétaro40%2.51

Double chance

  • Juárez or draw60%1.66
  • Juárez or Querétaro72%1.39
  • Draw or Querétaro68%1.47

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.23
  • Under 2.555%1.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.00
  • No50%2.00

Match in numbers

This season, Juárez at home and Querétaro away

Juárez (home)Querétaro (away)
Matches77
Points per game0.571.86
Goals scored per game0.711.29
Goals conceded per game1.711.29
Shots on target per game2.84.3
Shots on target conceded5.23.7
Clean sheets14%43%
Over 2.5 goals29%57%
Both teams scored43%43%
  • Juárez have gone 5 league matches without a win.
  • Querétaro have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • Juárez: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Querétaro: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Juárez matches: 0 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Querétaro matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 32% for Juárez, 28% for the draw and 40% for Querétaro.

At home this season Juárez average 0.57 points and 0.7 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Querétaro take 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.8 per game for Juárez at home and 4.3 for Querétaro on the road.

Current runs: Juárez have gone 5 league matches without a win; Querétaro have lost their last 3 league matches.

Querétaro are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.22 goals from Juárez and 1.25 from Querétaro; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Juárez won 1, Querétaro won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-08%
  • 1-28%

Juárez form

LDLLD
  • Dat Necaxa1-12026-10-24
  • Lvs Atlante0-12026-10-21
  • Lat Cruz Azul0-52026-10-18
  • Dvs Tijuana1-12026-10-10
  • Lat León1-22026-09-28

Querétaro form

WWLLL
  • Lvs Cruz Azul1-32026-10-26
  • Lat Atlético San Luis1-22026-10-21
  • Lat Santos Laguna0-52026-10-17
  • Wvs Atlante2-02026-10-10
  • Wat Guadalajara2-02026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-08Querétaro 1-1 Juárez
  • 2025-11-08Juárez 1-2 Querétaro
  • 2025-04-21Juárez 0-2 Querétaro
  • 2024-11-02Querétaro 1-2 Juárez
  • 2024-03-16Querétaro 1-0 Juárez

More Liga MX predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 00:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.