Juárez vs Atlante prediction

Mexico · Liga MX · 21 October 2026

Juárez
0 - 1Full time
Atlante
JuárezDrawAtlante
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Juárez to win (40%)
Our predictionJuárez to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.50Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.47-1.35Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Juárez40%2.50
  • Draw25%3.95
  • Atlante35%2.88

Double chance

  • Juárez or draw65%1.53
  • Juárez or Atlante75%1.34
  • Draw or Atlante60%1.66

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.87
  • Under 2.546%2.15

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.76
  • No43%2.32

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Juárez 40%, draw 25%, Atlante 35%.

Expected goals from the model: Juárez 1.47, Atlante 1.35. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

Juárez have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDLWL).

Atlante have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWDL).

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 1-28%

Juárez form

LWLDL
  • Lat Cruz Azul0-52026-10-18
  • Dvs Tijuana1-12026-10-10
  • Lat León1-22026-09-28
  • Wvs Tigres UANL2-02026-09-19
  • Lat Santos Laguna1-22026-09-14

Atlante form

LDWLL
  • Lvs Pumas UNAM1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Querétaro0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Monterrey4-22026-09-26
  • Dat Puebla1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Pachuca0-32026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Liga MX predictions

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NecaxaJuárezSat 24 Oct ·
NecaxaMatch result
53%
1.88Fair odds
Analysis
AtlanteAtlético San LuisSat 24 Oct ·
AtlanteMatch result
49%
2.05Fair odds
Analysis
LeónTolucaSat 24 Oct ·
TolucaMatch result
45%
2.23Fair odds
Analysis
MonterreyGuadalajaraSun 25 Oct ·
MonterreyMatch result
36%
2.74Fair odds
Analysis
Pumas UNAMTigres UANLSun 25 Oct ·
Pumas UNAMMatch result
44%
2.27Fair odds
Analysis
QuerétaroCruz AzulMon 26 Oct ·
Cruz AzulMatch result
50%
2.01Fair odds
Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.