Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Internacional vs Coritiba prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão Série A · 04 November 2026

Internacional17th · 14 pts
1 - 0Full time
Coritiba16th · 16 pts
InternacionalDrawCoritiba
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Internacional to win (58%)
Our predictionInternacional to winLean
58%Probability
1.73Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.72-0.80Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Internacional58%1.73
  • Draw26%3.92
  • Coritiba17%5.96

Double chance

  • Internacional or draw83%1.20
  • Internacional or Coritiba74%1.34
  • Draw or Coritiba42%2.36

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.16
  • Under 2.554%1.86

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.22
  • No55%1.82

Match in numbers

This season, Internacional at home and Coritiba away

Internacional (home)Coritiba (away)
Matches76
Points per game1.290.83
Goals scored per game1.430.67
Goals conceded per game1.142.17
Shots on target per game4.92.2
Shots on target conceded4.77.8
Clean sheets29%17%
Over 2.5 goals57%50%
Both teams scored71%33%
  • Internacional: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Coritiba: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 19th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Internacional matches: 3 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Coritiba matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Internacional (58%), though Coritiba win 17% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.

At home this season Internacional average 1.29 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Coritiba take 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.9 per game for Internacional at home and 2.2 for Coritiba on the road.

Internacional sit 17th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 11th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.72 goals from Internacional and 0.80 from Coritiba; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 45%.

In their last 5 league meetings Internacional won 2, Coritiba won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 2-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-08%

Internacional form

WDLWL
  • Lat Fluminense1-22026-10-28
  • Wvs Botafogo3-02026-10-24
  • Lat Mirassol0-22026-10-16
  • Dat Grêmio1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Corinthians2-12026-10-07

Coritiba form

LDLLW
  • Wvs Vitória2-02026-10-31
  • Lvs Grêmio0-12026-10-26
  • Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Botafogo1-12026-10-12
  • Lat Fluminense0-42026-10-09

Head to head

  • 2026-05-09Coritiba 2-2 Internacional
  • 2023-10-29Internacional 3-4 Coritiba
  • 2023-06-23Coritiba 0-1 Internacional
  • 2022-10-23Coritiba 1-1 Internacional
  • 2022-06-25Internacional 3-0 Coritiba

More Brasileirão Série A predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-04 00:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.