Inter Miami vs Cincinnati prediction

USA · MLS · 28 October 2026

Inter Miami9th · 24 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Cincinnati19th · 19 pts
Inter MiamiDrawCincinnati
Our predictionInter Miami to winStrong pick
65%Probability
1.55Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.62-1.59Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Inter Miami65%1.55
  • Draw16%6.17
  • Cincinnati19%5.23

Double chance

  • Inter Miami or draw81%1.24
  • Inter Miami or Cincinnati84%1.19
  • Draw or Cincinnati35%2.83

Goals

  • Over 2.579%1.27
  • Under 2.521%4.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes74%1.36
  • No26%3.80

Match preview

The model makes Inter Miami clear favourites, with a 65% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 16% and a win for Cincinnati at 19%.

Expected goals from the model: Inter Miami 2.62, Cincinnati 1.59. The single most likely score is 2-1 (8%), and the chance of three or more goals is 79%.

Inter Miami have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLD).

Cincinnati have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWL).

In the table Inter Miami are 9th with 24 points and Cincinnati 19th with 19.

In their last 5 league meetings Inter Miami won 3, Cincinnati won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-18%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-26%
  • 1-16%
  • 3-26%

Inter Miami form

DLWWW
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs New York City2-02026-10-14
  • Wvs DC United4-02026-10-10
  • Lat Columbus Crew1-22026-09-27
  • Dvs San Diego2-22026-09-20

Cincinnati form

LWLLW
  • Wvs DC United2-12026-10-21
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-18
  • Lvs New England2-32026-10-14
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-10
  • Lat Montréal1-32026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-05-13Cincinnati 3-5 Inter Miami
  • 2025-11-23Cincinnati 0-4 Inter Miami
  • 2025-07-27Inter Miami 0-0 Cincinnati
  • 2025-07-17Cincinnati 3-0 Inter Miami
  • 2024-08-25Inter Miami 2-0 Cincinnati

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.