Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United prediction

USA · MLS · 25 October 2026

Houston Dynamo8th · 25 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Minnesota United27th · 12 pts
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
Our predictionHouston Dynamo to winLean
49%Probability
2.03Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.59-1.18Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Houston Dynamo49%2.03
  • Draw25%3.92
  • Minnesota United25%3.95

Double chance

  • Houston Dynamo or draw75%1.34
  • Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United75%1.34
  • Draw or Minnesota United51%1.97

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.91
  • Under 2.548%2.10

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.82
  • No45%2.22

Match preview

Houston Dynamo have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Minnesota United at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Houston Dynamo 1.59, Minnesota United 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.

Houston Dynamo have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDLD).

Minnesota United have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDDLL).

In the table Houston Dynamo are 8th with 25 points and Minnesota United 27th with 12.

In their last 5 league meetings Houston Dynamo won 2, Minnesota United won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-18%

Houston Dynamo form

DLDDD
  • Dvs Dallas2-22026-10-18
  • Dat San Diego3-32026-10-15
  • Dat Minnesota United2-22026-10-11
  • Lvs Sporting KC0-22026-09-27
  • Dvs Cincinnati2-22026-09-20

Minnesota United form

LLDDW
  • Wvs St. Louis City3-22026-10-17
  • Dat Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-15
  • Dvs Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-11
  • Lat Seattle Sounders1-32026-09-27
  • Lvs LA Galaxy2-32026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-10-11Minnesota United 2-2 Houston Dynamo
  • 2025-06-26Minnesota United 3-1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2025-05-15Houston Dynamo 2-0 Minnesota United
  • 2024-07-14Houston Dynamo 1-1 Minnesota United
  • 2024-04-14Minnesota United 1-2 Houston Dynamo

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.