Guadalajara vs Necaxa prediction
Guadalajara
NecaxaBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Guadalajara68%1.48
- Draw19%5.39
- Necaxa14%7.21
Double chance
- Guadalajara or draw86%1.16
- Guadalajara or Necaxa81%1.23
- Draw or Necaxa32%3.08
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.60
- Under 2.538%2.66
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.90
- No47%2.12
Match preview
The model makes Guadalajara clear favourites, with a 68% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Necaxa at 14%.
Expected goals from the model: Guadalajara 2.34, Necaxa 0.88. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 62%.
Guadalajara have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDLDW).
Necaxa have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLL).
In their last 5 league meetings Guadalajara won 2, Necaxa won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 1-010%
- 3-09%
- 1-18%
Guadalajara form
- Dvs Tigres UANL1-12026-10-17
- Dat Atlas1-12026-10-11
- Lvs Querétaro0-22026-09-26
- Dat Club América2-22026-09-20
- Wvs Pumas UNAM3-02026-09-14
Necaxa form
- Lvs Atlas0-22026-10-17
- Dat Pachuca3-32026-10-11
- Lvs Club América2-42026-09-28
- Lat Atlético San Luis1-32026-09-19
- Lvs Puebla0-12026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-04-23Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara
- 2025-09-24Guadalajara 3-1 Necaxa
- 2025-01-18Necaxa 3-2 Guadalajara
- 2024-10-23Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa
- 2024-02-21Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara
More Liga MX predictions
All matches ›This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.