Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Flamengo79%1.27
- Draw14%6.99
- Grêmio7%14.18
Double chance
- Flamengo or draw93%1.08
- Flamengo or Grêmio86%1.17
- Draw or Grêmio21%4.68
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.79
- Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to score
- Yes45%2.21
- No55%1.83
Match in numbers
This season, Flamengo at home and Grêmio away
| Flamengo (home) | Grêmio (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Points per game | 2.75 | 0.57 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.62 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.6 | 5.4 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 43% |
- Flamengo have won their last 4 league matches.
- Flamengo: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Grêmio: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Flamengo matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Grêmio matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Flamengo's match to lose. The model gives them 79%, with the draw at 14% and Grêmio at 7%.
At home this season Flamengo average 2.75 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Grêmio take 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.6 per game for Flamengo at home and 3.6 for Grêmio on the road.
Current runs: Flamengo have won their last 4 league matches.
The model expects 2.21 goals from Flamengo and 0.71 from Grêmio; 2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 45%.
In their last 5 league meetings Flamengo won 3, Grêmio won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 1-012%
- 3-010%
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
Flamengo form
- Wat Vasco da Gama4-12026-10-29
- Wvs Atlético Mineiro3-22026-10-26
- Wat Bahia3-02026-10-18
- Wvs Fluminense1-02026-10-11
- Dat Santos2-22026-10-08
Grêmio form
- Wvs Athletico Paranaense2-02026-10-30
- Wat Coritiba1-02026-10-26
- Lvs Cruzeiro2-42026-10-18
- Dvs Internacional1-12026-10-11
- Dat Remo1-12026-10-07
Head to head
- 2026-05-10Grêmio 0-1 Flamengo
- 2025-08-31Flamengo 1-1 Grêmio
- 2025-04-13Grêmio 0-2 Flamengo
- 2024-09-22Grêmio 3-2 Flamengo
- 2024-06-14Flamengo 2-1 Grêmio
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
All matches ›
Mirassol
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Chapecoense
Vasco da GamaPrediction made 2026-11-04 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.