Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes prediction

USA · MLS · 25 October 2026

Dallas7th · 26 pts
Sun 25 Oct
SJ Earthquakes23rd · 16 pts
DallasDrawSJ Earthquakes
Our predictionDallas to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.85-1.46Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Dallas51%1.97
  • Draw23%4.42
  • SJ Earthquakes27%3.75

Double chance

  • Dallas or draw73%1.36
  • Dallas or SJ Earthquakes77%1.29
  • Draw or SJ Earthquakes49%2.03

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.55
  • Under 2.536%2.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes65%1.55
  • No35%2.83

Match preview

Dallas have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for SJ Earthquakes at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Dallas 1.85, SJ Earthquakes 1.46. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

Dallas have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWD).

SJ Earthquakes have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWD).

In the table Dallas are 7th with 26 points and SJ Earthquakes 23rd with 16.

In their last 5 league meetings Dallas won 2, SJ Earthquakes won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-27%
  • 1-07%
  • 2-27%

Dallas form

DWLWD
  • Dat Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Seattle Sounders1-02026-10-15
  • Lat Charlotte2-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Los Angeles1-02026-09-27
  • Dvs Austin0-02026-09-20

SJ Earthquakes form

DWDDD
  • Dvs Nashville SC1-12026-10-18
  • Dat Real Salt Lake1-12026-10-15
  • Dat Colorado Rapids1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Portland Timbers3-12026-09-27
  • Dvs Los Angeles2-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-05-17SJ Earthquakes 2-3 Dallas
  • 2025-07-17SJ Earthquakes 2-2 Dallas
  • 2025-06-26Dallas 2-4 SJ Earthquakes
  • 2024-10-03SJ Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
  • 2024-02-25Dallas 2-1 SJ Earthquakes

More MLS predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.