Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Cruz Azul69%1.45
- Draw17%5.86
- León14%7.07
Double chance
- Cruz Azul or draw86%1.16
- Cruz Azul or León83%1.21
- Draw or León31%3.20
Goals
- Over 2.568%1.48
- Under 2.532%3.10
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.63
- No39%2.58
Match in numbers
This season, Cruz Azul at home and León away
| Cruz Azul (home) | León (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.71 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.6 | 4.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% |
- Cruz Azul have won their last 3 league matches.
- León have scored in 12 straight league matches.
- Cruz Azul: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 3rd in the league.
- León: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Cruz Azul matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for León matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Cruz Azul go in as strong favourites: 69% to win, against 17% for a draw and 14% for León.
At home this season Cruz Azul average 1.86 points and 2.4 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home León take 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Cruz Azul manage 7.6 per home game and León 4.8 per away game.
Form lines: Cruz Azul have won their last 3 league matches; León have scored in 12 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Cruz Azul 2.36, León 1.13. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 68%.
In their last 5 league meetings Cruz Azul won 4 and León won 1.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 2-08%
- 1-18%
- 3-18%
- 1-07%
Cruz Azul form
- Wat Querétaro3-12026-10-26
- Wat Pachuca2-12026-10-22
- Wvs Juárez5-02026-10-18
- Dat Pumas UNAM3-32026-10-12
- Dvs Toluca3-32026-09-26
León form
- Dvs Toluca1-12026-10-24
- Wat Tigres UANL2-02026-10-21
- Lvs Club América3-52026-10-18
- Dat Puebla1-12026-10-10
- Wvs Juárez2-12026-09-28
Head to head
- 2026-01-11León 2-1 Cruz Azul
- 2025-07-27Cruz Azul 4-1 León
- 2025-05-12Cruz Azul 2-1 León
- 2025-05-09León 2-3 Cruz Azul
- 2025-04-16Cruz Azul 2-1 León
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-02 00:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.