Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Coritiba37%2.70
- Draw29%3.41
- Vitória34%2.98
Double chance
- Coritiba or draw66%1.50
- Coritiba or Vitória71%1.42
- Draw or Vitória63%1.59
Goals
- Over 2.542%2.40
- Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to score
- Yes47%2.11
- No53%1.90
Match in numbers
This season, Coritiba at home and Vitória away
| Coritiba (home) | Vitória (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.9 | 6.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 57% |
- Coritiba have gone 7 league matches without a win.
- Vitória have scored in 8 straight league matches.
- Coritiba: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Vitória: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Our predictions for Coritiba matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Vitória matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 37% for Coritiba, 29% for the draw and 34% for Vitória.
At home this season Coritiba average 1.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Vitória take 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.4 per game for Coritiba at home and 3.4 for Vitória on the road.
Current runs: Coritiba have gone 7 league matches without a win; Vitória have scored in 8 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.19 goals from Coritiba and 1.16 from Vitória; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 47%.
They last met in the league on 2026-05-02: Vitória 4-1 Coritiba.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Coritiba form
- Lvs Grêmio0-12026-10-26
- Lat Atlético Mineiro0-12026-10-17
- Dvs Botafogo1-12026-10-12
- Lat Fluminense0-42026-10-09
- Lat Vasco da Gama0-52026-09-19
Vitória form
- Dvs Athletico Paranaense1-12026-10-24
- Dat Corinthians1-12026-10-19
- Lat São Paulo1-22026-10-11
- Wvs Chapecoense4-02026-10-07
- Lvs Cruzeiro1-32026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Vitória 4-1 Coritiba
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
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Mirassol
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Vasco da GamaPrediction made 2026-10-31 18:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.