Cincinnati vs DC United prediction

USA · MLS · 21 October 2026

Cincinnati
2 - 1Full time
DC United
CincinnatiDrawDC United
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Cincinnati to win (58%)
Our predictionCincinnati to winLean
58%Probability
1.74Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.38-1.38Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cincinnati58%1.74
  • Draw20%5.03
  • DC United22%4.45

Double chance

  • Cincinnati or draw78%1.29
  • Cincinnati or DC United80%1.25
  • Draw or DC United42%2.36

Goals

  • Over 2.572%1.38
  • Under 2.528%3.63

Both teams to score

  • Yes68%1.47
  • No32%3.11

Match preview

Cincinnati have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 20% and a win for DC United at 22%.

Expected goals from the model: Cincinnati 2.38, DC United 1.38. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 72%.

Cincinnati have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLD).

DC United have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDL).

In their last 5 league meetings Cincinnati won 2, DC United won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-26%

Cincinnati form

DLWLL
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-18
  • Lvs New England2-32026-10-14
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-10
  • Lat Montréal1-32026-09-26
  • Dat Houston Dynamo2-22026-09-20

DC United form

LDLWL
  • Lat Orlando City1-42026-10-17
  • Wvs New York RB2-12026-10-14
  • Lat Inter Miami0-42026-10-10
  • Dat Vancouver Whitecaps3-32026-09-27
  • Lvs Charlotte1-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2025-06-01Cincinnati 1-2 DC United
  • 2025-04-13DC United 0-1 Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-04DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
  • 2024-03-10Cincinnati 0-0 DC United
  • 2023-06-25DC United 3-0 Cincinnati

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.