Chicago Fire vs Orlando City prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

Chicago Fire14th · 22 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Orlando City4th · 27 pts
Chicago FireDrawOrlando City
Our predictionChicago Fire to winLean
55%Probability
1.82Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.37-1.49Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Chicago Fire55%1.82
  • Draw21%4.79
  • Orlando City24%4.12

Double chance

  • Chicago Fire or draw76%1.32
  • Chicago Fire or Orlando City79%1.26
  • Draw or Orlando City45%2.22

Goals

  • Over 2.574%1.35
  • Under 2.526%3.84

Both teams to score

  • Yes70%1.43
  • No30%3.33

Match preview

Chicago Fire have the edge at 55%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Orlando City at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Chicago Fire 2.37, Orlando City 1.49. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 74%.

Chicago Fire have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLWWW).

Orlando City have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLL).

In the table Chicago Fire are 14th with 22 points and Orlando City 4th with 27.

In their last 5 league meetings Chicago Fire won 3, Orlando City won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-17%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-27%
  • 2-06%

Chicago Fire form

WWWLL
  • Lat New England0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Philadelphia Union1-32026-10-15
  • Wvs New York City2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Vancouver Whitecaps3-12026-10-07
  • Wat Charlotte1-02026-09-26

Orlando City form

LLWDW
  • Wvs DC United4-12026-10-17
  • Dat Toronto3-32026-10-14
  • Wvs Columbus Crew3-22026-10-10
  • Lat Philadelphia Union2-42026-09-26
  • Lat New England2-42026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-08-19Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-10-23Chicago Fire 3-1 Orlando City
  • 2025-06-01Orlando City 1-3 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-05-04Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City
  • 2024-06-23Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.