Charlotte vs Montréal prediction

USA · MLS · 28 October 2026

Charlotte6th · 26 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Montréal28th · 11 pts
CharlotteDrawMontréal
Our predictionCharlotte to winLean
59%Probability
1.70Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.82-1.31Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Charlotte59%1.70
  • Draw20%4.95
  • Montréal21%4.76

Double chance

  • Charlotte or draw79%1.27
  • Charlotte or Montréal80%1.25
  • Draw or Montréal41%2.43

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.65
  • Under 2.539%2.53

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.64
  • No39%2.56

Match preview

Charlotte have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 20% and a win for Montréal at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Charlotte 1.82, Montréal 1.31. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

Charlotte have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWLW).

Montréal have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLWL).

In the table Charlotte are 6th with 26 points and Montréal 28th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Charlotte won 3, Montréal won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Charlotte form

WLWLD
  • Dat Philadelphia Union2-22026-10-17
  • Lat Columbus Crew1-32026-10-14
  • Wvs Dallas3-22026-10-10
  • Lvs Chicago Fire0-12026-09-26
  • Wat DC United2-12026-09-19

Montréal form

LWLLD
  • Dat Seattle Sounders1-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Atlanta United0-32026-10-14
  • Lat Toronto1-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Cincinnati3-12026-09-26
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-09-09Montréal 1-2 Charlotte
  • 2025-09-27Charlotte 1-4 Montréal
  • 2025-04-13Montréal 0-1 Charlotte
  • 2024-10-06Charlotte 2-0 Montréal
  • 2024-09-15Montréal 2-1 Charlotte

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.