Austin vs Real Salt Lake prediction

USA · MLS · 29 October 2026

Austin22nd · 17 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Real Salt Lake30th · 10 pts
AustinDrawReal Salt Lake
Our predictionReal Salt Lake to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.51Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.65Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Austin34%2.93
  • Draw26%3.83
  • Real Salt Lake40%2.51

Double chance

  • Austin or draw60%1.66
  • Austin or Real Salt Lake74%1.35
  • Draw or Real Salt Lake66%1.52

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.74
  • Under 2.543%2.35

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.68
  • No41%2.47

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Austin 34%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 40%.

Expected goals from the model: Austin 1.34, Real Salt Lake 1.65. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Austin have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDD).

Real Salt Lake have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLWL).

In the table Austin are 22nd with 17 points and Real Salt Lake 30th with 10.

In their last 5 league meetings Austin won 0, Real Salt Lake won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-17%
  • 1-07%

Austin form

DDLLL
  • Lvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-22026-10-18
  • Lat Los Angeles1-32026-10-15
  • Lvs Nashville SC1-42026-10-11
  • Dvs San Diego3-32026-09-27
  • Dat Dallas0-02026-09-20

Real Salt Lake form

LWLDW
  • Wat Sporting KC3-12026-10-18
  • Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-15
  • Lat Philadelphia Union1-22026-10-10
  • Wvs New England3-02026-09-27
  • Lat Seattle Sounders0-22026-09-24

Head to head

  • 2026-03-15Real Salt Lake 2-1 Austin
  • 2025-09-28Real Salt Lake 3-1 Austin
  • 2025-05-29Austin 1-1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-09-29Austin 2-2 Real Salt Lake
  • 2024-06-02Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin

More MLS predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.