Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Atlas34%2.94
- Draw29%3.45
- Pachuca37%2.70
Double chance
- Atlas or draw63%1.59
- Atlas or Pachuca71%1.41
- Draw or Pachuca66%1.52
Goals
- Over 2.544%2.28
- Under 2.556%1.78
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.04
- No51%1.97
Match in numbers
This season, Atlas at home and Pachuca away
| Atlas (home) | Pachuca (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 1.62 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 38% |
- Atlas have scored in 11 straight league matches.
- Atlas: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Pachuca: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Pachuca matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Atlas 34%, draw 29%, Pachuca 37%.
At home this season Atlas average 0.86 points and 1.1 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Pachuca take 1.62 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Atlas manage 3.2 per home game and Pachuca 3.1 per away game.
Form lines: Atlas have scored in 11 straight league matches.
Atlas are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 15th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Pachuca sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Atlas 1.15, Pachuca 1.28. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.
In their last 5 league meetings Atlas won 1, Pachuca won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-112%
- 1-010%
- 0-09%
- 1-28%
Atlas form
- Wat Atlético San Luis1-02026-10-31
- Lvs Club América2-52026-10-22
- Wat Necaxa2-02026-10-17
- Dvs Guadalajara1-12026-10-11
- Wat Tijuana3-22026-09-26
Pachuca form
- Wvs Tigres UANL3-02026-10-31
- Wat Club América2-12026-10-26
- Lvs Cruz Azul1-22026-10-22
- Lat Monterrey1-22026-10-19
- Dvs Necaxa3-32026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-02-14Pachuca 3-1 Atlas
- 2025-08-10Atlas 0-3 Pachuca
- 2025-02-02Pachuca 0-0 Atlas
- 2024-09-14Atlas 2-0 Pachuca
- 2024-02-01Pachuca 4-3 Atlas
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyPrediction made 2026-11-07 22:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.