Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Atlas26%3.78
- Draw27%3.71
- Club América47%2.15
Double chance
- Atlas or draw53%1.87
- Atlas or Club América73%1.37
- Draw or Club América74%1.36
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.98
- Under 2.549%2.02
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.88
- No47%2.14
Match in numbers
This season, Atlas at home and Club América away
| Atlas (home) | Club América (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.17 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.6 | 8.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 83% |
- Atlas have scored in 9 straight league matches.
- Club América have scored in 13 straight league matches.
- Our predictions for Club América matches: 0 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Club América have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Atlas at 26%.
At home this season Atlas average 1.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Club América take 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Atlas manage 2.6 per home game and Club América 8.7 per away game.
Form lines: Atlas have scored in 9 straight league matches; Club América have scored in 13 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Atlas 1.12, Club América 1.58. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings Atlas won 1 and Club América won 4.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-28%
- 1-08%
Atlas form
- Wat Necaxa2-02026-10-17
- Dvs Guadalajara1-12026-10-11
- Wat Tijuana3-22026-09-26
- Dvs Pumas UNAM1-12026-09-19
- Lat Toluca2-52026-09-12
Club América form
- Wat León5-32026-10-18
- Dvs Monterrey1-12026-10-11
- Wat Necaxa4-22026-09-28
- Dvs Guadalajara2-22026-09-20
- Lat Cruz Azul3-42026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Club América 0-1 Atlas
- 2025-08-25Atlas 2-4 Club América
- 2025-03-16Atlas 1-3 Club América
- 2024-09-18Club América 3-0 Atlas
- 2024-03-03Atlas 1-5 Club América
More Liga MX predictions
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Querétaro
MonterreyThis match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.