Vitória Guimarães vs Marítimo prediction
Vitória Guimarães15th · 5 pts
Marítimo11th · 8 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vitória Guimarães54%1.84
- Draw25%4.00
- Marítimo21%4.83
Double chance
- Vitória Guimarães or draw79%1.26
- Vitória Guimarães or Marítimo75%1.33
- Draw or Marítimo46%2.19
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.02
- Under 2.550%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.96
- No49%2.04
Match preview
Vitória Guimarães have the edge at 54%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Marítimo at 21%.
Expected goals from the model: Vitória Guimarães 1.66, Marítimo 1.00. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Vitória Guimarães have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDLDL).
Marítimo have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLL).
In the table Vitória Guimarães are 15th with 5 points and Marítimo 11th with 8.
In their last 5 league meetings Vitória Guimarães won 4, Marítimo won 0 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 0-17%
Vitória Guimarães form
- Lat Benfica0-22026-10-11
- Dvs Moreirense1-12026-09-20
- Lat Académico de Viseu1-22026-09-12
- Dvs Casa Pia0-02026-09-06
- Lat Sporting Braga0-12026-08-31
Marítimo form
- Lvs Porto1-22026-10-10
- Dat Gil Vicente1-12026-09-19
- Lat Moreirense1-32026-09-14
- Lvs Benfica0-32026-09-05
- Lat Arouca1-22026-08-29
Head to head
- 2023-04-29Marítimo 1-2 Vitória Guimarães
- 2022-11-13Vitória Guimarães 1-0 Marítimo
- 2022-03-13Marítimo 0-1 Vitória Guimarães
- 2021-10-22Vitória Guimarães 2-1 Marítimo
- 2021-05-16Marítimo 0-0 Vitória Guimarães
More Primeira Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.