Rio Ave vs Famalicão prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 25 October 2026

Rio Ave14th · 7 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Famalicão13th · 7 pts
Rio AveDrawFamalicão
Our predictionFamalicão to winLean
45%Probability
2.20Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.07-1.48Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rio Ave27%3.74
  • Draw28%3.60
  • Famalicão45%2.20

Double chance

  • Rio Ave or draw55%1.83
  • Rio Ave or Famalicão72%1.38
  • Draw or Famalicão73%1.36

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.13
  • Under 2.553%1.88

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.98
  • No49%2.02

Match preview

Famalicão have the edge at 45%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 28% and a win for Rio Ave at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Rio Ave 1.07, Famalicão 1.48. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Rio Ave have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLDLL).

Famalicão have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDDD).

In the table Rio Ave are 14th with 7 points and Famalicão 13th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings Rio Ave won 0, Famalicão won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-112%
  • 1-29%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-29%

Rio Ave form

LLDLW
  • Wvs Nacional3-22026-10-11
  • Lat Alverca0-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Estrela3-32026-09-14
  • Lat Santa Clara0-42026-09-06
  • Lvs Sporting CP0-42026-08-28

Famalicão form

DDDWL
  • Lvs Alverca1-42026-10-12
  • Wat Nacional4-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Sporting CP1-12026-09-13
  • Dat Estrela2-22026-09-05
  • Dvs Gil Vicente0-02026-08-30

Head to head

  • 2026-03-01Rio Ave 0-0 Famalicão
  • 2025-09-28Famalicão 0-0 Rio Ave
  • 2025-03-10Famalicão 1-0 Rio Ave
  • 2024-10-04Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicão
  • 2024-02-16Famalicão 2-1 Rio Ave

More Primeira Liga predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.