Gil Vicente vs Porto prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 24 October 2026

Gil Vicente6th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Porto1st · 24 pts
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
Our predictionPorto to winLean
58%Probability
1.73Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.83-1.35Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Gil Vicente18%5.58
  • Draw24%4.15
  • Porto58%1.73

Double chance

  • Gil Vicente or draw42%2.38
  • Gil Vicente or Porto76%1.32
  • Draw or Porto82%1.22

Goals

  • Over 2.537%2.69
  • Under 2.563%1.59

Both teams to score

  • Yes42%2.41
  • No58%1.71

Match preview

Porto have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Gil Vicente at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Gil Vicente 0.83, Porto 1.35. The single most likely score is 0-1 (16%), and the chance of three or more goals is 37%.

Gil Vicente have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWDLL).

Porto have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWW).

In the table Gil Vicente are 6th with 14 points and Porto 1st with 24.

In their last 5 league meetings Gil Vicente won 1, Porto won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-116%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-011%
  • 0-210%
  • 1-010%

Gil Vicente form

LLDWW
  • Wat Sporting Braga2-12026-10-19
  • Wat Moreirense1-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Marítimo1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Benfica1-32026-09-13
  • Lvs Académico de Viseu0-12026-09-06

Porto form

WWWWW
  • Wat Marítimo2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Benfica3-12026-09-20
  • Wat Casa Pia4-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Moreirense2-12026-09-04
  • Wat Académico de Viseu3-02026-08-29

Head to head

  • 2026-01-26Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente
  • 2025-08-18Gil Vicente 0-2 Porto
  • 2025-01-19Gil Vicente 3-1 Porto
  • 2024-08-10Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente
  • 2024-02-25Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.