Estoril vs Moreirense prediction
Estoril18th · 2 pts
Moreirense12th · 8 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Estoril46%2.19
- Draw28%3.61
- Moreirense27%3.75
Double chance
- Estoril or draw73%1.36
- Estoril or Moreirense72%1.38
- Draw or Moreirense54%1.84
Goals
- Over 2.548%2.07
- Under 2.552%1.93
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.95
- No49%2.05
Match preview
Estoril have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 28% and a win for Moreirense at 27%.
Expected goals from the model: Estoril 1.54, Moreirense 1.06. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.
Estoril have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).
Moreirense have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDWLL).
In the table Estoril are 18th with 2 points and Moreirense 12th with 8.
In their last 5 league meetings Estoril won 0, Moreirense won 2 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-012%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-18%
Estoril form
- Lat Académico de Viseu1-22026-10-10
- Lvs Casa Pia1-22026-09-20
- Lat Sporting Braga0-12026-09-14
- Dvs Arouca0-02026-09-07
- Lat Benfica1-22026-08-31
Moreirense form
- Lvs Gil Vicente0-12026-10-09
- Dat Vitória Guimarães1-12026-09-20
- Wvs Marítimo3-12026-09-14
- Lvs Benfica0-42026-09-09
- Lat Porto1-22026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-04-20Moreirense 1-0 Estoril
- 2025-12-07Estoril 3-3 Moreirense
- 2025-05-11Moreirense 2-2 Estoril
- 2024-12-28Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
- 2024-05-18Moreirense 2-1 Estoril
More Primeira Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.