Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Vancouver Whitecaps60%1.66
- Draw22%4.55
- Seattle Sounders18%5.59
Double chance
- Vancouver Whitecaps or draw82%1.22
- Vancouver Whitecaps or Seattle Sounders78%1.28
- Draw or Seattle Sounders40%2.51
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.74
- Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.80
- No45%2.24
Match in numbers
This season, Vancouver Whitecaps at home and Seattle Sounders away
| Vancouver Whitecaps (home) | Seattle Sounders (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 0.78 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.6 | 4.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 67% |
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Seattle Sounders: 23rd in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Our predictions for Vancouver Whitecaps matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Seattle Sounders matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Vancouver Whitecaps's match to lose. The model gives them 60%, with the draw at 22% and Seattle Sounders at 18%.
At home this season Vancouver Whitecaps average 1.38 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Seattle Sounders take 0.78 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Vancouver Whitecaps manage 6.6 per home game and Seattle Sounders 4.3 per away game.
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 3rd in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Seattle Sounders sit 23rd in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 13th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Vancouver Whitecaps 1.94, Seattle Sounders 1.05. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
In their last 5 league meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, Seattle Sounders won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Vancouver Whitecaps form
- Wvs San Diego4-12026-10-29
- Lat Colorado Rapids0-12026-10-25
- Wat Austin2-12026-10-18
- Dat St. Louis City0-02026-10-15
- Dat Los Angeles1-12026-10-11
Seattle Sounders form
- Lvs Houston Dynamo0-12026-10-29
- Dat San Diego2-22026-10-25
- Dvs Montréal1-12026-10-18
- Lat Dallas0-12026-10-15
- Wat New England3-02026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-08-17Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
- 2025-09-28Seattle Sounders 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
- 2025-06-09Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Seattle Sounders
- 2024-10-03Vancouver Whitecaps 0-3 Seattle Sounders
- 2024-05-19Seattle Sounders 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Prediction made 2026-11-01 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.