Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Racing Genk prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 08 November 2026

1 - 0Full time
Racing Genk7th · 15 pts
Union Saint-GilloiseDrawRacing Genk
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Union Saint-Gilloise to win (69%)
Our predictionUnion Saint-Gilloise to winStrong pick
69%Probability
1.44Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.92-0.90Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Union Saint-Gilloise69%1.44
  • Draw18%5.50
  • Racing Genk13%7.97

Double chance

  • Union Saint-Gilloise or draw87%1.14
  • Union Saint-Gilloise or Racing Genk82%1.22
  • Draw or Racing Genk31%3.25

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.87
  • Under 2.546%2.16

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.98
  • No49%2.02

Match in numbers

This season, Union Saint-Gilloise at home and Racing Genk away

Union Saint-Gilloise (home)Racing Genk (away)
Matches55
Points per game2.200.40
Goals scored per game2.801.00
Goals conceded per game0.602.00
Shots on target per game7.23.8
Shots on target conceded2.85.0
Clean sheets60%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored40%40%
  • Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 12 league matches.
  • Union Saint-Gilloise: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Racing Genk: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Union Saint-Gilloise matches: 3 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Racing Genk matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Union Saint-Gilloise's match to lose. The model gives them 69%, with the draw at 18% and Racing Genk at 13%.

At home this season Union Saint-Gilloise average 2.20 points and 2.8 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Racing Genk take 0.40 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.2 per game for Union Saint-Gilloise at home and 3.8 for Racing Genk on the road.

Current runs: Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 12 league matches.

The model expects 1.92 goals from Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.90 from Racing Genk; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 51%.

In their last 5 league meetings Union Saint-Gilloise won 4 and Racing Genk won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 2-011%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 3-07%

Union Saint-Gilloise form

WWDWW
  • Wat Beveren2-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Cercle Brugge5-22026-10-25
  • Dvs OH Leuven1-12026-10-11
  • Wat Antwerp2-02026-09-20
  • Wvs Lommel5-02026-09-12

Racing Genk form

DLWWL
  • Lat Mechelen0-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Standard Liège2-12026-10-25
  • Wvs Kortrijk3-02026-10-10
  • Lat Club Brugge0-32026-09-20
  • Dvs Gent1-12026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-03-07Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Racing Genk
  • 2025-09-21Racing Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise
  • 2025-05-03Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Racing Genk
  • 2025-04-20Racing Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise
  • 2025-03-15Racing Genk 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise

Prediction made 2026-11-08 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.