Udinese vs Roma prediction
Udinese16th · 4 pts
Roma3rd · 17 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Udinese19%5.38
- Draw23%4.41
- Roma59%1.70
Double chance
- Udinese or draw41%2.42
- Udinese or Roma77%1.29
- Draw or Roma81%1.23
Goals
- Over 2.550%1.99
- Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.94
- No49%2.06
Match in numbers
This season, Udinese at home and Roma away
| Udinese (home) | Roma (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.2 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
- Udinese have lost their last 5 league matches.
- Roma are unbeaten in 14 league matches.
- Udinese: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 13th in the league.
- Roma: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 4th in the league.
Match preview
Roma have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Udinese at 19%.
At home this season Udinese average 0.25 points and 0.5 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Roma take 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Udinese manage 4.0 per home game and Roma 5.0 per away game.
Form lines: Udinese have lost their last 5 league matches; Roma are unbeaten in 14 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Udinese 1.01, Roma 1.67. The single most likely score is 0-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
In their last 5 league meetings Udinese won 1 and Roma won 4.
Most likely scores
- 0-112%
- 1-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-210%
- 1-07%
Udinese form
- Lvs Lecce0-32026-10-18
- Lat Torino1-22026-10-12
- Lvs Cagliari0-12026-09-19
- Lat Inter Milan3-52026-09-14
- Lvs Lazio1-22026-09-07
Roma form
- Wvs Genoa2-02026-10-17
- Dat Como0-02026-10-11
- Dvs Inter Milan2-22026-09-19
- Wat Torino2-02026-09-14
- Wvs Atalanta2-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-02-02Udinese 1-0 Roma
- 2025-11-09Roma 2-0 Udinese
- 2025-01-26Udinese 1-2 Roma
- 2024-09-22Roma 3-0 Udinese
- 2024-04-25Udinese 1-2 Roma
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.