Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction

Italy · Serie A · 25 October 2026

Inter Milan1st · 19 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Fiorentina18th · 4 pts
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
Our predictionInter Milan to winStrong pick
80%Probability
1.25Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.48-0.97Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Inter Milan80%1.25
  • Draw12%8.33
  • Fiorentina8%12.25

Double chance

  • Inter Milan or draw92%1.09
  • Inter Milan or Fiorentina88%1.14
  • Draw or Fiorentina20%4.96

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.49
  • Under 2.533%3.03

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.76
  • No43%2.31

Match preview

The model makes Inter Milan clear favourites, with a 80% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 12% and a win for Fiorentina at 8%.

Expected goals from the model: Inter Milan 2.48, Fiorentina 0.97. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.

Inter Milan have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).

Fiorentina have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWL).

In the table Inter Milan are 1st with 19 points and Fiorentina 18th with 4.

In their last 5 league meetings Inter Milan won 3, Fiorentina won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 3-08%
  • 1-08%
  • 3-18%

Inter Milan form

WWDWW
  • Wat Bologna3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Parma3-02026-10-10
  • Dat Roma2-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Udinese5-32026-09-14
  • Wvs Napoli3-22026-09-05

Fiorentina form

LWDLL
  • Lvs Como1-32026-10-18
  • Lat Genoa1-22026-10-10
  • Dvs Napoli1-12026-09-20
  • Wat Venezia4-22026-09-11
  • Lvs Torino1-22026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-03-22Fiorentina 1-1 Inter Milan
  • 2025-10-29Inter Milan 3-0 Fiorentina
  • 2025-02-10Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
  • 2025-02-06Fiorentina 3-0 Inter Milan
  • 2024-01-28Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.