Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction
Inter Milan1st · 19 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Inter Milan80%1.25
- Draw12%8.33
- Fiorentina8%12.25
Double chance
- Inter Milan or draw92%1.09
- Inter Milan or Fiorentina88%1.14
- Draw or Fiorentina20%4.96
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.49
- Under 2.533%3.03
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.76
- No43%2.31
Match preview
The model makes Inter Milan clear favourites, with a 80% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 12% and a win for Fiorentina at 8%.
Expected goals from the model: Inter Milan 2.48, Fiorentina 0.97. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.
Inter Milan have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).
Fiorentina have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWL).
In the table Inter Milan are 1st with 19 points and Fiorentina 18th with 4.
In their last 5 league meetings Inter Milan won 3, Fiorentina won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 2-19%
- 3-08%
- 1-08%
- 3-18%
Inter Milan form
- Wat Bologna3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Parma3-02026-10-10
- Dat Roma2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Udinese5-32026-09-14
- Wvs Napoli3-22026-09-05
Fiorentina form
- Lvs Como1-32026-10-18
- Lat Genoa1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Napoli1-12026-09-20
- Wat Venezia4-22026-09-11
- Lvs Torino1-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-22Fiorentina 1-1 Inter Milan
- 2025-10-29Inter Milan 3-0 Fiorentina
- 2025-02-10Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
- 2025-02-06Fiorentina 3-0 Inter Milan
- 2024-01-28Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.