Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Italy · Serie A · 24 October 2026

Cagliari7th · 13 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Bologna15th · 5 pts
CagliariDrawBologna
Our predictionBologna to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.78Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.08-1.20Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cagliari34%2.91
  • Draw30%3.37
  • Bologna36%2.78

Double chance

  • Cagliari or draw64%1.56
  • Cagliari or Bologna70%1.42
  • Draw or Bologna66%1.52

Goals

  • Over 2.540%2.52
  • Under 2.560%1.66

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.18
  • No54%1.84

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Cagliari 34%, draw 30%, Bologna 36%.

Expected goals from the model: Cagliari 1.08, Bologna 1.20. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 40%.

Cagliari have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).

Bologna have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLD).

In the table Cagliari are 7th with 13 points and Bologna 15th with 5.

In their last 5 league meetings Cagliari won 1, Bologna won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-113%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-010%
  • 1-28%

Cagliari form

WWWDL
  • Lat Monza0-42026-10-19
  • Dvs Juventus1-12026-10-11
  • Wat Udinese1-02026-09-19
  • Wat Atalanta2-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Lecce1-02026-09-07

Bologna form

DLDWL
  • Lvs Inter Milan1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Lecce2-12026-10-11
  • Dvs Torino1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Napoli0-12026-09-13
  • Dvs Sassuolo2-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Bologna 0-0 Cagliari
  • 2025-10-19Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
  • 2025-03-02Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
  • 2024-10-29Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
  • 2024-01-14Cagliari 2-1 Bologna

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.