Torino vs Monza prediction

Italy · Serie A · 23 October 2026

Torino10th · 10 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Monza14th · 7 pts
TorinoDrawMonza
Our predictionTorino to winLean
52%Probability
1.92Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.64-1.48Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Torino52%1.92
  • Draw22%4.62
  • Monza26%3.80

Double chance

  • Torino or draw74%1.36
  • Torino or Monza78%1.28
  • Draw or Monza48%2.09

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.61
  • No38%2.63

Match preview

Torino have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Monza at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Torino 1.64, Monza 1.48. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Torino have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWDLW).

Monza have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLD).

In the table Torino are 10th with 10 points and Monza 14th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings Torino won 2, Monza won 0 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%
  • 1-07%
  • 0-17%

Torino form

WLDWW
  • Wat Parma3-02026-10-19
  • Wvs Udinese2-12026-10-12
  • Dat Bologna1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Roma0-22026-09-14
  • Wat Fiorentina2-12026-09-05

Monza form

DLWLW
  • Wvs Cagliari4-02026-10-19
  • Lat Lazio1-32026-10-11
  • Wvs Sassuolo2-12026-09-18
  • Lat Lecce2-32026-09-13
  • Dat Parma1-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2025-03-02Monza 0-2 Torino
  • 2024-11-24Torino 1-1 Monza
  • 2024-03-30Torino 1-0 Monza
  • 2023-11-11Monza 1-1 Torino
  • 2023-05-07Torino 1-1 Monza

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.