Como vs Sassuolo prediction

Italy · Serie A · 24 October 2026

Como5th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Sassuolo13th · 8 pts
ComoDrawSassuolo
Our predictionComo to winStrong pick
71%Probability
1.42Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.24-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Como71%1.42
  • Draw17%5.93
  • Sassuolo13%7.93

Double chance

  • Como or draw87%1.14
  • Como or Sassuolo83%1.20
  • Draw or Sassuolo29%3.39

Goals

  • Over 2.563%1.58
  • Under 2.537%2.72

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.75
  • No43%2.33

Match preview

The model makes Como clear favourites, with a 71% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 17% and a win for Sassuolo at 13%.

Expected goals from the model: Como 2.24, Sassuolo 1.02. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.

Como have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDLWW).

Sassuolo have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDLWD).

In the table Como are 5th with 14 points and Sassuolo 13th with 8.

In their last 2 league meetings Como won 1, Sassuolo won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-17%

Como form

WWLDW
  • Wat Fiorentina3-12026-10-18
  • Dvs Roma0-02026-10-11
  • Lat Frosinone0-22026-09-20
  • Wvs Parma2-12026-09-14
  • Wat Genoa4-12026-09-04

Sassuolo form

DWLDL
  • Lat Frosinone2-42026-10-16
  • Dvs AC Milan1-12026-10-11
  • Lat Monza1-22026-09-18
  • Wvs Juventus3-22026-09-13
  • Dat Bologna2-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-04-17Sassuolo 2-1 Como
  • 2025-11-28Como 2-0 Sassuolo

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.