Napoli vs Roma prediction
Sat 24 Oct
Roma3rd · 17 ptsNapoliDrawRoma
Our predictionNapoli to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.69Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.25-1.13Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Napoli37%2.69
- Draw29%3.41
- Roma33%2.99
Double chance
- Napoli or draw67%1.50
- Napoli or Roma71%1.42
- Draw or Roma63%1.59
Goals
- Over 2.542%2.36
- Under 2.558%1.73
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.09
- No52%1.92
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Napoli 37%, draw 29%, Roma 33%.
Expected goals from the model: Napoli 1.25, Roma 1.13. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.
Napoli have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWL).
Roma have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDDWW).
In the table Napoli are 9th with 10 points and Roma 3rd with 17.
In their last 5 league meetings Napoli won 2, Roma won 0 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Napoli form
LWDWL
- Lat Venezia0-12026-10-17
- Wvs Frosinone3-02026-10-10
- Dat Fiorentina1-12026-09-20
- Wvs Bologna1-02026-09-13
- Lat Inter Milan2-32026-09-05
Roma form
WWDDW
- Wvs Genoa2-02026-10-17
- Dat Como0-02026-10-11
- Dvs Inter Milan2-22026-09-19
- Wat Torino2-02026-09-14
- Wvs Atalanta2-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-02-15Napoli 2-2 Roma
- 2025-11-30Roma 0-1 Napoli
- 2025-02-02Roma 1-1 Napoli
- 2024-11-24Napoli 1-0 Roma
- 2024-04-28Napoli 2-2 Roma
More Serie A predictions
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ComoMatch result
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BolognaMatch result
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2.78Fair odds
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LazioMatch result
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1.54Fair odds
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Inter MilanMatch result
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1.25Fair odds
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AtalantaMatch result
50%
1.99Fair odds
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.