Lazio vs Parma prediction
Lazio2nd · 19 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lazio65%1.54
- Draw21%4.78
- Parma14%6.99
Double chance
- Lazio or draw86%1.17
- Lazio or Parma79%1.26
- Draw or Parma35%2.84
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.43
- Under 2.559%1.70
Both teams to score
- Yes43%2.32
- No57%1.76
Match preview
The model makes Lazio clear favourites, with a 65% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Parma at 14%.
Expected goals from the model: Lazio 1.52, Parma 0.81. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.
Lazio have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).
Parma have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLD).
In the table Lazio are 2nd with 19 points and Parma 19th with 4.
In their last 5 league meetings Lazio won 2, Parma won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-015%
- 1-112%
- 2-011%
- 0-010%
- 2-19%
Lazio form
- Wat Juventus3-02026-10-18
- Wvs Monza3-12026-10-11
- Wat Venezia2-02026-09-19
- Dvs AC Milan2-22026-09-12
- Wat Udinese2-12026-09-07
Parma form
- Lvs Torino0-32026-10-19
- Lat Inter Milan0-32026-10-10
- Wvs Genoa2-12026-09-20
- Lat Como1-22026-09-14
- Dvs Monza1-12026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-04-04Lazio 1-1 Parma
- 2025-12-13Parma 0-1 Lazio
- 2025-04-28Lazio 2-2 Parma
- 2024-12-01Parma 3-1 Lazio
- 2021-05-12Lazio 1-0 Parma
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.