Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction

Italy · Serie A · 25 October 2026

Atalanta11th · 9 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Frosinone6th · 13 pts
AtalantaDrawFrosinone
Our predictionAtalanta to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.85-1.59Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Atalanta50%1.99
  • Draw22%4.59
  • Frosinone28%3.58

Double chance

  • Atalanta or draw72%1.39
  • Atalanta or Frosinone78%1.28
  • Draw or Frosinone50%2.01

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.50
  • Under 2.533%3.02

Both teams to score

  • Yes67%1.49
  • No33%3.03

Match preview

Atalanta have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Frosinone at 28%.

Expected goals from the model: Atalanta 1.85, Frosinone 1.59. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.

Atalanta have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLL).

Frosinone have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).

In the table Atalanta are 11th with 9 points and Frosinone 6th with 13.

In their last 2 league meetings Atalanta won 1, Frosinone won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-28%
  • 2-27%
  • 1-06%

Atalanta form

LLLWL
  • Lat AC Milan2-32026-10-18
  • Wvs Venezia3-12026-10-12
  • Lat Juventus0-22026-09-20
  • Lvs Cagliari1-22026-09-12
  • Lat Roma1-22026-09-05

Frosinone form

WDWLW
  • Wvs Sassuolo4-22026-10-16
  • Lat Napoli0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Como2-02026-09-20
  • Dat Genoa1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Venezia3-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2024-01-15Atalanta 5-0 Frosinone
  • 2023-08-26Frosinone 2-1 Atalanta

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.