Udinese vs AC Milan prediction

Italy · Serie A · 25 October 2026

Udinese16th · 4 pts
Sun 25 Oct
AC Milan4th · 15 pts
UdineseDrawAC Milan
Our predictionAC Milan to winLean
48%Probability
2.06Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.14-1.49Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Udinese26%3.91
  • Draw26%3.85
  • AC Milan48%2.06

Double chance

  • Udinese or draw52%1.94
  • Udinese or AC Milan74%1.35
  • Draw or AC Milan74%1.34

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.04
  • Under 2.551%1.96

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.91
  • No48%2.10

Match preview

AC Milan have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Udinese at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Udinese 1.14, AC Milan 1.49. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

Udinese have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

AC Milan have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDD).

In the table Udinese are 16th with 4 points and AC Milan 4th with 15.

In their last 5 league meetings Udinese won 1, AC Milan won 4 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 1-08%
  • 0-28%

Udinese form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Lecce0-32026-10-18
  • Lat Torino1-22026-10-12
  • Lvs Cagliari0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Inter Milan3-52026-09-14
  • Lvs Lazio1-22026-09-07

AC Milan form

DDWDW
  • Wvs Atalanta3-22026-10-18
  • Dat Sassuolo1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Lecce3-02026-09-20
  • Dat Lazio2-22026-09-12
  • Dat Juventus1-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-04-11AC Milan 0-3 Udinese
  • 2025-09-20Udinese 0-3 AC Milan
  • 2025-04-11Udinese 0-4 AC Milan
  • 2024-10-19AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
  • 2024-01-20Udinese 2-3 AC Milan

More Serie A predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.