Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

St. Louis City vs San Diego prediction

USA · MLS · 31 October 2026

St. Louis City3rd · 35 pts
0 - 1Full time
San Diego23rd · 18 pts
St. Louis CityDrawSan Diego
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: St. Louis City to win (56%)
Our predictionSt. Louis City to winLean
56%Probability
1.79Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.08-1.38Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Louis City56%1.79
  • Draw21%4.69
  • San Diego23%4.37

Double chance

  • St. Louis City or draw77%1.30
  • St. Louis City or San Diego79%1.27
  • Draw or San Diego44%2.26

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.49
  • Under 2.533%3.04

Both teams to score

  • Yes65%1.53
  • No35%2.88

Match in numbers

This season, St. Louis City at home and San Diego away

St. Louis City (home)San Diego (away)
Matches1010
Points per game2.100.70
Goals scored per game2.501.20
Goals conceded per game1.502.10
Shots on target per game5.34.1
Shots on target conceded3.56.7
Clean sheets20%10%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%
Both teams scored80%70%
  • St. Louis City have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • San Diego have gone 10 league matches without a win.
  • St. Louis City: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • San Diego: 23rd in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 25th in the league.
  • Our predictions for St. Louis City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for San Diego matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards St. Louis City (56%), though San Diego win 23% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 21%.

At home this season St. Louis City average 2.10 points and 2.5 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home San Diego take 0.70 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.1. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.3 per game for St. Louis City at home and 4.1 for San Diego on the road.

Current runs: St. Louis City have lost their last 3 league matches; San Diego have gone 10 league matches without a win.

St. Louis City are 3rd in the table while the model ranks them only 8th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 2.08 goals from St. Louis City and 1.38 from San Diego; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 65%.

In their last 3 league meetings San Diego won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-07%
  • 3-17%

St. Louis City form

WDLLL
  • Lvs Portland Timbers2-32026-10-29
  • Lat Real Salt Lake0-32026-10-25
  • Lat Minnesota United2-32026-10-17
  • Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps0-02026-10-15
  • Wvs LA Galaxy6-22026-10-11

San Diego form

LDDDL
  • Lat Vancouver Whitecaps1-42026-10-29
  • Dvs Seattle Sounders2-22026-10-25
  • Dat LA Galaxy2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Houston Dynamo3-32026-10-15
  • Lat New York RB1-42026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-03-02San Diego 2-0 St. Louis City
  • 2025-05-11St. Louis City 1-2 San Diego
  • 2025-03-02San Diego 0-0 St. Louis City

Prediction made 2026-10-31 18:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.