Sporting KC vs Dallas prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sporting KC28%3.53
- Draw22%4.60
- Dallas50%2.00
Double chance
- Sporting KC or draw50%2.00
- Sporting KC or Dallas78%1.28
- Draw or Dallas72%1.39
Goals
- Over 2.566%1.51
- Under 2.534%2.95
Both teams to score
- Yes67%1.50
- No33%2.99
Match in numbers
This season, Sporting KC at home and Dallas away
| Sporting KC (home) | Dallas (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.89 | 1.30 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 70% |
- Sporting KC have lost their last 4 league matches.
- Sporting KC: 29th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 30th in the league.
- Dallas: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 16th in the league.
- Our predictions for Sporting KC matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Dallas matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Dallas have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Sporting KC at 28%.
At home this season Sporting KC average 0.89 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Dallas take 1.30 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.1. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Sporting KC manage 4.6 per home game and Dallas 4.4 per away game.
Form lines: Sporting KC have lost their last 4 league matches.
Dallas are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 14th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Sporting KC 1.61, Dallas 1.80. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 66%.
In their last 5 league meetings Sporting KC won 1 and Dallas won 4.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Sporting KC form
- Lat Minnesota United1-32026-10-29
- Lvs Austin1-22026-10-25
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-32026-10-18
- Lat Nashville SC0-42026-10-15
- Dvs Portland Timbers3-32026-10-11
Dallas form
- Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-29
- Wvs SJ Earthquakes3-02026-10-25
- Dat Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-18
- Wvs Seattle Sounders1-02026-10-15
- Lat Charlotte2-32026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-09-06Dallas 4-3 Sporting KC
- 2025-06-15Sporting KC 2-4 Dallas
- 2025-03-30Dallas 2-1 Sporting KC
- 2024-10-20Dallas 2-1 Sporting KC
- 2024-07-08Sporting KC 3-2 Dallas
Prediction made 2026-10-31 18:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.