Sporting Braga vs Gil Vicente prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 19 October 2026

Sporting Braga
1 - 2Full time
Gil Vicente
Sporting BragaDrawGil Vicente
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Sporting Braga to win (50%)
Our predictionSporting Braga to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.46-0.85Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sporting Braga50%1.99
  • Draw27%3.73
  • Gil Vicente23%4.36

Double chance

  • Sporting Braga or draw77%1.30
  • Sporting Braga or Gil Vicente73%1.37
  • Draw or Gil Vicente50%2.01

Goals

  • Over 2.541%2.46
  • Under 2.559%1.68

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.29
  • No56%1.78

Match preview

Sporting Braga have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Gil Vicente at 23%.

Expected goals from the model: Sporting Braga 1.46, Gil Vicente 0.85. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.

Sporting Braga have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWLW).

Gil Vicente have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLLD).

In their last 5 league meetings Sporting Braga won 2, Gil Vicente won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-015%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-011%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-19%

Sporting Braga form

WLWDL
  • Lvs Sporting CP1-32026-10-09
  • Dat Santa Clara0-02026-09-20
  • Wvs Estoril1-02026-09-14
  • Lat Estrela1-22026-09-10
  • Wat Alverca2-12026-09-05

Gil Vicente form

DLLDW
  • Wat Moreirense1-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Marítimo1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Benfica1-32026-09-13
  • Lvs Académico de Viseu0-12026-09-06
  • Dat Famalicão0-02026-08-30

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Gil Vicente 2-1 Sporting Braga
  • 2025-09-14Sporting Braga 0-1 Gil Vicente
  • 2025-02-09Sporting Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente
  • 2024-09-01Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Braga
  • 2024-03-16Sporting Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.