SJ Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- SJ Earthquakes41%2.43
- Draw25%3.95
- Real Salt Lake34%2.98
Double chance
- SJ Earthquakes or draw66%1.51
- SJ Earthquakes or Real Salt Lake75%1.34
- Draw or Real Salt Lake59%1.70
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.67
- Under 2.540%2.49
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.62
- No38%2.61
Match in numbers
This season, SJ Earthquakes at home and Real Salt Lake away
| SJ Earthquakes (home) | Real Salt Lake (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.11 | 1.70 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 80% |
- SJ Earthquakes have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Real Salt Lake have won their last 3 league matches.
- SJ Earthquakes: 25th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 23rd in the league.
- Real Salt Lake: 27th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Our predictions for SJ Earthquakes matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Real Salt Lake matches: 4 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 41% for SJ Earthquakes, 25% for the draw and 34% for Real Salt Lake.
At home this season SJ Earthquakes average 1.11 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 2.1. Away from home Real Salt Lake take 0.70 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.2 per game for SJ Earthquakes at home and 3.6 for Real Salt Lake on the road.
Current runs: SJ Earthquakes have gone 5 league matches without a win; Real Salt Lake have won their last 3 league matches.
Real Salt Lake sit 27th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.56 goals from SJ Earthquakes and 1.53 from Real Salt Lake; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 62%.
In their last 5 league meetings SJ Earthquakes won 2, Real Salt Lake won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 0-17%
SJ Earthquakes form
- Dvs Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-29
- Lat Dallas0-32026-10-25
- Dvs Nashville SC1-12026-10-18
- Dat Real Salt Lake1-12026-10-15
- Dat Colorado Rapids1-12026-10-11
Real Salt Lake form
- Wat Austin2-12026-10-29
- Wvs St. Louis City3-02026-10-25
- Wat Sporting KC3-12026-10-18
- Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-15
- Lat Philadelphia Union1-22026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-10-15Real Salt Lake 1-1 SJ Earthquakes
- 2025-07-27Real Salt Lake 2-1 SJ Earthquakes
- 2025-02-23SJ Earthquakes 4-0 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-10-06SJ Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake
- 2024-08-25Real Salt Lake 0-2 SJ Earthquakes
Prediction made 2026-10-31 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.