Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Sint-Truiden vs Zulte Waregem prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 08 November 2026

Sint-Truiden16th · 8 pts
4 - 1Full time
Zulte Waregem12th · 11 pts
Sint-TruidenDrawZulte Waregem
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Sint-Truiden to win (53%)
Our predictionSint-Truiden to winLean
53%Probability
1.89Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.90-1.29Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sint-Truiden53%1.89
  • Draw23%4.31
  • Zulte Waregem24%4.18

Double chance

  • Sint-Truiden or draw76%1.31
  • Sint-Truiden or Zulte Waregem77%1.30
  • Draw or Zulte Waregem47%2.12

Goals

  • Over 2.562%1.62
  • Under 2.538%2.61

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.63
  • No39%2.59

Match in numbers

This season, Sint-Truiden at home and Zulte Waregem away

Sint-Truiden (home)Zulte Waregem (away)
Matches55
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored per game1.200.80
Goals conceded per game1.601.60
Shots on target per game4.64.8
Shots on target conceded4.25.8
Clean sheets20%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored40%20%
  • Sint-Truiden have lost their last 5 league matches.
  • Zulte Waregem have lost their last 5 league matches.
  • Sint-Truiden: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Zulte Waregem: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Sint-Truiden matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Zulte Waregem matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Sint-Truiden have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Zulte Waregem at 24%.

At home this season Sint-Truiden average 0.80 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Zulte Waregem take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Sint-Truiden manage 4.6 per home game and Zulte Waregem 4.8 per away game.

Form lines: Sint-Truiden have lost their last 5 league matches; Zulte Waregem have lost their last 5 league matches.

Sint-Truiden sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Sint-Truiden 1.90, Zulte Waregem 1.29. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 62%.

Sint-Truiden won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Sint-Truiden form

LLLLL
  • Lvs OH Leuven1-22026-11-01
  • Lat Club Brugge2-32026-10-25
  • Lat Mechelen3-42026-10-11
  • Lvs Westerlo0-22026-09-20
  • Lat Beveren0-22026-09-12

Zulte Waregem form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Club Brugge2-42026-10-30
  • Lat RAAL La Louvière0-32026-10-24
  • Lvs Gent0-22026-10-10
  • Lat Anderlecht0-32026-09-19
  • Lvs Sporting Charleroi0-12026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2026-02-15Sint-Truiden 3-2 Zulte Waregem
  • 2025-08-23Zulte Waregem 0-2 Sint-Truiden
  • 2022-12-27Sint-Truiden 2-0 Zulte Waregem
  • 2022-09-17Zulte Waregem 0-3 Sint-Truiden
  • 2022-04-02Zulte Waregem 0-2 Sint-Truiden

Prediction made 2026-11-08 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.