Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 01 November 2026

Sint-Truiden14th · 8 pts
1 - 2Full time
OH Leuven16th · 6 pts
Sint-TruidenDrawOH Leuven
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Sint-Truiden to win (61%)
Our predictionSint-Truiden to winStrong pick
61%Probability
1.63Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.82-1.00Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sint-Truiden61%1.63
  • Draw22%4.61
  • OH Leuven17%5.85

Double chance

  • Sint-Truiden or draw83%1.21
  • Sint-Truiden or OH Leuven78%1.28
  • Draw or OH Leuven39%2.58

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.87
  • Under 2.546%2.15

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match in numbers

This season, Sint-Truiden at home and OH Leuven away

Sint-Truiden (home)OH Leuven (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.000.25
Goals scored per game1.250.50
Goals conceded per game1.502.00
Shots on target per game4.02.5
Shots on target conceded4.25.0
Clean sheets25%0%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%
Both teams scored25%50%
  • Sint-Truiden have lost their last 4 league matches.
  • Sint-Truiden: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • OH Leuven: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 10th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Sint-Truiden matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for OH Leuven matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Sint-Truiden clear favourites at 61%. The draw is rated at 22% and a win for OH Leuven at 17%.

At home this season Sint-Truiden average 1.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home OH Leuven take 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Sint-Truiden at home and 2.5 for OH Leuven on the road.

Current runs: Sint-Truiden have lost their last 4 league matches.

Sint-Truiden sit 14th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.82 goals from Sint-Truiden and 1.00 from OH Leuven; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 53%.

In their last 5 league meetings Sint-Truiden won 3, OH Leuven won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-16%

Sint-Truiden form

WLLLL
  • Lat Club Brugge2-32026-10-25
  • Lat Mechelen3-42026-10-11
  • Lvs Westerlo0-22026-09-20
  • Lat Beveren0-22026-09-12
  • Wvs RAAL La Louvière4-02026-09-05

OH Leuven form

LDWDD
  • Dvs Lommel2-22026-10-24
  • Dat Union Saint-Gilloise1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs RAAL La Louvière2-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Cercle Brugge1-12026-09-12
  • Lat Beveren0-32026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-01-18Sint-Truiden 1-0 OH Leuven
  • 2025-11-23OH Leuven 1-2 Sint-Truiden
  • 2025-03-16OH Leuven 3-2 Sint-Truiden
  • 2024-09-15Sint-Truiden 2-1 OH Leuven
  • 2024-05-17Sint-Truiden 1-1 OH Leuven

Prediction made 2026-11-01 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.